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Reputation Score© helps organizations build resiliency amidst imminent US-Canada tariffs

Built on a history of peaceful trade, defense and diplomacy, Canada and the United States have shared one of the world’s most interdependent economic relationships since the early 20th century.

A storied united front, the two countries boast the world’s longest undefended border and exchange nearly two billion dollars in goods and services daily.  

In recent weeks, these longstanding bilateral ties have been tested. Unprecedented trade turbulence from the Oval Office, with the threat of tariffs (and temporary reprieves) on Canada and Mexico, have set off a chain of panic across North America. 

While it may feel impossible to plan as an organization amidst evolving timelines, we’ve developed communications and crisis-preparedness strategies, rooted in real-time data, to prepare for what could lie ahead in this climate of economic unrest.  

To better understand the impact of these tensions and inform recommendations, our Data Intelligence team applied the ChangeMakers’ proprietary Reputation Score©, drawing insights from the fall-out around this conflict. Tracking the fluctuation in trends, habits, audience sentiment, and key developments in consumer behaviour, we examined the reputational outlook of key sectors in the three-week window following the initial tariff declarations.  

Here’s what you need to know about the reputational industry shifts, consumer reactions, and key strategies to prepare for what could lay ahead.

Cross-Border Reputation: The Power of Perception 

As expected, both countries experienced a notable dip reputationally following the announcement of tariffs.  

While Reputation Score allows brands, businesses, and executives to track their health and navigate reputation, we used this tool to understand how the threats of tariffs have impacted cross-border reputation from a geotargeted perspective.  

Digital conversations, particularly within pro-Trump communities, have fueled anti-Canada sentiment, while anti-tariff discussions have largely focused on Trump himself rather than offering support for Canada. This demonstrates how trade disputes quickly become emotionally charged, influencing how businesses and brands are perceived. 

Industry Impact: Key Sectors in Focus 

Despite a brief recovery during the 30-day reprieve, several industries have been hit reputationally as a result of the tariffs discourse. In examining the sector-specific impact, actionable strategies can be implemented by businesses within these spaces to mitigate for further risk.  

With heightened consumer anxiety, organizations must be proactive in developing communications and operational strategies that shape their narratives and prepare for potential backlash in an unpredictable policy environment. 

Consumer, Lifestyle & Tourism 

The initial tariff threat, coupled with uncertainty about its duration, has fuelled a surge in “buy local” rhetoric in Canada. Prime Minister Trudeau’s call for domestic vacations spurred a 150% increase in searches related to Canadian vacations. Similarly, Google search data shows a significant spike in “Made in Canada” queries leading up to the tariffs. 

While Canadian consumers may express loyalty to domestic brands, North America’s deeply integrated supply chain makes complete economic independence unrealistic. Businesses should expect continued emotional rhetoric but prepare for practical consumer behavior that blends patriotism with necessity. 

Actionable Strategies:  

  • Establish a clear brand narrative to navigate consumer sentiment. 
  • Scenario plan for potential tariff-related price shifts. 
  • Monitor online discourse and adapt marketing strategies accordingly. 

Agriculture 

Canada and the U.S. have long relied on each other for agricultural trade, but tariffs have sparked discussions about reducing dependence on American imports. February saw a 575% increase in social media mentions of buying Canadian agricultural goods, signalling a shift in public sentiment. 

Political rhetoric around Canada’s supply-managed sectors is also naturally intensifying. Businesses should explore new trade partnerships if possible, while strengthening domestic production. 

Actionable Strategies:  

  • Diversify supply chains when possible, to mitigate reliance on U.S. markets. 
  • Amplify real-world stories about tariff impacts to foster industry advocacy. 
  • Stay attuned to political developments that could shape future trade policies. 

Energy 

Canada’s oil and gas sector, responsible for over 60% of U.S. energy imports, faces a 10% tariff as of February 27, threatening price stability and supply chain reliability. For Canadian oil producers, this would represent a nearly US$7-billion hit to their profit. Negative sentiment around Canadian energy exports has spiked, with unfavourable opinions outpacing positive ones by a ratio of 5.5:1. 

As tariffs exacerbate uncertainty, the sector may see renewed calls for energy diversification, increased domestic investment, and stronger regulatory support for green energy initiatives. 

Actionable Strategies:  

  • Explore alternative energy markets and partnerships, when possible. 
  • Identify champions who can advocate for industry stability. 
  • Align with public sentiment by investing in energy efficiency and sustainability. 

Tech & AI 

Hard tech goods moving across the border would be directly impacted by prospective tariffs, while AI and digital services remain vulnerable to broader geopolitical tensions. The AI arms race is becoming a critical point of cooperation, with both nations keen on outpacing China’s advancements. 

Given the sector’s rapid evolution, businesses must approach AI policy with strategic foresight, ensuring alignment between corporate values and technological adoption. 

Actionable Strategies: 

  • Develop a robust AI policy that integrates security and compliance. 
  • Stay ahead of government regulations that may impact AI and cloud services. 
  • Monitor geopolitical trends to anticipate shifts in the digital economy. 

Automotive & Transportation 

No industry is more vulnerable than North America’s auto sector, where just-in-time supply chains depend on frequent cross-border movement of parts. While tariffs threaten efficiency, public discourse remains surprisingly muted—only 10% of trade-related conversations focus on the auto industry, suggesting that consumers are more concerned with direct consumer goods price increases. 

Actionable Strategies: 

  • Strengthen advocacy efforts to highlight the sector’s economic impact. 
  • Develop contingency plans for potential supply chain disruptions. 
  • Align internal teams across legal, government relations, and communications. 

Preparing for What’s Next 

As the trade pendulum continues to swing and timing remains uncertain, here’s how to stay ahead: 

  1. Anticipate long-term changes: The tariff debate is fluid, but consumer sentiment and economic behavior will have lasting effects. Expect stakeholders to be driven by the emotion of the situation and communicate accordingly. ​ 
  1. Stay agile: The ability to pivot quickly in response to new developments will be crucial for business survival. 
  1. Engage in digital advocacy: The online environment is ripe for brands to take a stance and rally support in a strategic, measured way. Create opportunities for your leaders & advocates to champion industry-wide causes.  

Amidst this volatile time, organizations must be proactive, adaptable, and ready to engage with the evolving trade landscape. Through strategic communications, supply chain diversification, and targeted advocacy, now is the time to take decisive action.   

Kenny Cameron / Senior Account Manager, Data Intelligence

With over five years of experience in public relations and data analytics, Kenny is an expert in reputation risk management and data-driven communications. Leading ChangeMaker’s Data Intelligence team in Canada, Kenny takes a client-focused approach to social listening and analysis that culminates in actionable takeaways to tackle complex communication challenges.

Rachel Cohen / Senior Account Manager,  Reputation Management 

With a passion for relationship-building and storytelling, Rachel is a trusted communicator, supporting clients through effective reputation management, crisis preparedness and brand strategy. Joining ChangeMakers with roots in the social-change space, Rachel thoughtfully advises and trains partners from a cross-border perspective on the evolving communications, as well as media landscapes in both countries.  

In this age of disruption, change is the only constant. It is critical in this complex, competitive environment, for brands, businesses, and executives to know exactly where they stand.

Navigate your corporate reputation in real-time.

ChangeMakers Reputation Score© technology assesses your organization, analyzes how competitors compare, predicts reputational risks in advance, and creates opportunities for future growth.

Find out more about how we can help

Change events will impact you both planned and unexpected. From M&A Transactions, Rebranding, Financial Change, Leadership Transition, and Public Crisis.

Learn from others who are navigating change this year.

Dive into our Reputation Index 2024 to uncover how major events impact brand reputation- and learn what it takes to protect your biggest corporate asset- Your Reputation.

Download the report PDF now

Data Intelligence

Services

  • [01]
    Audience, stakeholder and customer analysis
  • [02]
    Board and Executive Advisory
  • [03]
    Brand Positioning
  • [04]
    Business and Marketing Strategy
  • [05]
    ChangeMakers Reputation Score – powering Reputation Scorecard and Predictive Analysis
  • [06]
    Corporate and Organizational Strategy
  • [07]
    Data Intelligence and Analytics  
  • [08]
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  • [09]
    Growth Strategy
  • [10]
    Transformation and Change Management

Change events will impact you both planned and unexpected. From M&A Transactions, Rebranding, Financial Change, Leadership Transition, and Public Crisis.

Learn from others who are navigating change this year.

Dive into our Reputation Index 2024 to uncover how major events impact brand reputation- and learn what it takes to protect your biggest corporate asset- Your Reputation.

Download the report PDF now

In our modern world is the Medium still the Message? 

In our modern world is The Medium still the Message? 

Everybody has heard the phrase “The Medium is the Message,” Marshall McLuhan’s famous contribution to the study of communication. It may seem like a complex theory from a philosophical genius, but it’s actually quite intuitive. McLuhan is saying the medium through which information is transmitted shapes and influences our perception and understanding of the message itself. If you watch a commercial on TV, the very fact that it’s a TV ad is going to change how the audience understands it. McLuhan was thinking about this in the 60s just as TV was rising to mass media prominence, reaching tens of millions of people simultaneously. If VW had a commercial at half-time at the Super Bowl, we all saw the same thing at the same time, in the same context. And context is what McLuhan was focused on. 

But people no longer watch TV in the traditional sense – they consume content on multiple devices: casting, streaming and binging content free from a set time and location. The proliferation of digital media has transformed the traditional mass communication model into a more personalized and one-to-one communication paradigm. Context is now continuously changing as digital messaging can follow us from browsing, to streaming, to scrolling – constantly shifting mediums. This begs the question: do we still need to consider McLuhan’s thesis? Can’t we, as marketers, advertisers and communicators now just focus on the message? 

The answer is a resounding no. McLuhan’s insight is more significant than ever, but with one huge difference. Marketers during TV’s reign had to take TV’s context into account to craft relevant messaging; now we need to actively create relevant context alongside relevant content.     

TV: The King of Reach 

We can’t ignore the fact that McLuhan’s world looked vastly different in the 1960s, when TV was the silver bullet to achieve reach. The duopoly of Google and Meta collectively could begin to approach something resembling that reach a decade ago, but a multitude of changes (technology, competition, further fragmentation in the digital space) have made it increasingly difficult to achieve true mass reach with any one channel. Audiences have never been more fragmented. So, we’re faced with a difficult challenge: with reach being a fundamental predictor of success, it has become increasingly more difficult to achieve, and is further complicated by challenges that make it difficult to evaluate true reach. Measurement of reach is hindered by the closed ecosystems of the big online giants, limitations around cross-device tracking, ad-blocking and privacy regulations.  

Digital: The King of Precision 

TV brought us tremendous reach – but it was a blunt instrument. Scale, yes. Ability to be relevant to individuals? Not so much. We can approximate some of the scale with digital, but we now have tools to deliver messaging with incredible control over the who and the where. As we plan communications to deliver maximum results, precision vs. scale becomes the quandary. A broader reach strategy will achieve a broader audience, but at the cost of precision. This broad approach has its place; it is effective for awareness, driving household penetration for brands, campaigns and organizations, reaching people who may not fit neatly into specific segments. Yet mass is no longer the silver bullet it used to be as today’s consumers expect creative content to be relevant to their needs, interests and preferences. They want content that addresses their specific pain points, desires or challenges. We see that McLuhan is still as right as ever, the Medium is the Message – but now the medium (and thus the message) is personalized.   

The who and the where are the priorities for effective digital communication. Creating the who and the where must go hand in hand with creating the messaging for it to be relevant. We know relevant messaging drives engagement and builds stronger connections. And in a medium that promises continual personalization, users will become desensitized to generic or repetitive messaging. Relevancy helps combat fatigue while delivering results: boosting CTRs, driving higher conversions and continuing to engage and retain audiences. 

Personalization 

As today’s media landscape continues to evolve, communicators and advertisers need to strike the right balance of reach and relevance to deliver successful campaigns, resulting in messaging that is not only seen by the right people but is seen in environments where they make sense and resonate with their audience. With relevance comes the seemingly impossible task of achieving scale while delivering personalized content. 

McLuhan is as relevant as ever. The medium is speaking as much as the message, and everyone needs to listen to what it’s saying: personalization. From strategy to creative, media-buying to execution, ChangeMakers understands this core truth, and we’re equipped to bring the right data sets together to ensure an audience-first approach is embraced across our disciplines and departments. When the quality of attention you achieve is arguably more important than scale, having a deep understanding of audiences and context is not only a fundamental pillar in communication, but arguably the starting point for everything.  

How to navigate change on social media.  

We find ourselves in the teenage years of the dominant social media platforms – Facebook is 20 years old; Instagram is 14; and 18-year-old Twitter has angrily changed its name to X. As with any teenager, volatility is the norm. Recent years brought us the mountainous rise of TikTok, the faltering of Twitter, the birth of Threads, the rise and fall of the metaverse, Bill C-18, Apple’s app tracking transparency, and generative AI for all. There’s been a tremendous amount of change. 

Constant change and disruption is woven into the fabric of the digital landscape. So how do communicators and marketers navigate these rapid transformations of technology, norms, and tastes? There are really only two choices – radical change every quarter or create a long-term, stable social strategy. The former is going to consistently get you into trouble, the latter will set you up for success for years to come.  
 
Just because platforms are volatile, doesn’t mean brands have to be. Amidst the chaos, the smart move is to create integrated strategies that bring together social, creative, media, and web teams to curate moments, and create ownable content focused on measurable goals.  

If users don’t win, everyone loses  

We are in the midst of a fierce battle for attention. Consumer ability to jump toward shiny new platforms is forever shifting how social media properties operate.  As communicators, we should be rooting for more success, not failure. A healthy, competitive social media ecosystem is better for all of us as it incentivises communicators to create compelling messaging.   
 
Meta’s platforms, along with TikTok’s, increasingly suffer from a proliferation of out-of-touch and socially disconnected ads. A surge in poorly crafted, and often auto-generated messaging results in user disengagement; they post less frequently, see less of what they want, and before you know it, you’re in a platform death spiral. This cycle creates a worse environment for users, contributing to declining diversity, doom-scrolling, and deteriorating mental health – which is a lousy environment for organizations to communicate with users.    
 
No one should add to this deterioration. Marketers and communicators must be thoughtful about what we bring to the party. Audiences want to be seen and acknowledged, and they crave relevant content. Brands who lead with authenticity and demonstrate they understand the diversity of their customers’ values will continue to flourish.  

Paid and organic: BFFs  

Organic reach is dead. But that doesn’t mean organic efforts should be abandoned. It just means that paid campaigns and organic publishing shouldn’t operate in silos, and certainly not with distinct teams behind them. Organic and paid should be part of the same strategy conversation – with creative and media at the table. Paid and organic can complement each other strongly. Organic audiences are engaged supporters, driving content views, comments, and organic website sessions. Organic content nurtures and informs those who know your brand or your perspective. These audiences are your most loyal, and insights from their actions and interests will inform your paid audience targeting, and your next round of creative content planning. On the flip side, within your best performing social media content – that’s tested across millions of targeted impressions, and dozens of AI powered creative treatments – lies the spark for your next most engaging organic content.    

Bigger! Better! Fewer!  

Face it, very few are waiting for your organization’s next social media post. You should be communicating when you have something relevant to say. It’s more effective to focus your integrated social media efforts within your brand’s own schedule. Find your most meaningful and most impactful moments. Pick your times to speak, and break through with meaning, authenticity, and the weight of a focused ad spend to drive higher exposure for the moments that matter (to you and your audiences). Less is more!  
 
Bigger moments are more likely to align with strategic outcomes. And social media outcomes should be a means-to-an-end, aligning with actual business objectives. Your organization is not powered by impressions and likes. Calibrate your conversions and turn on an ecosystem that is fine-tuned to nurture first-party customer data – data from which you can grow more meaningful relationships. Engaged audiences are more likely to connect through to your websites, your ecommerce shop, your CRM initiatives, and your physical assets.    

Embrace platform formats  

The smartphone is the TV of today. And vertical video is its 22-minute sitcom. XDR screens and 5G networks have made social media feeds the perfect place for vertical video entertainment. Steve Jobs dreamed of an entertainment and communications device for the park bench, the bus, and the bathroom. And now we have it, full-screen and lightning fast. Today, content carrying your message needs to resonate with your mobile viewer within just 2 seconds. This is why your creative and social media teams should integrate from the start, so that possibilities are never missed. Your content planning and production stream can be designed to incorporate native platform truths, from the start. The format is vertical, short, and quickly engaging – with branding and key message right up front. 
 
Because social media is so volatile, we as marketers need to be extra focused on stability. When users, platforms, and policies ebb and flow, integration and cohesion are our secret weapons. Increase the proximity between social, creative, media, and web teams. Lead with authenticity. Embrace and test new platform formats. These are the efforts that enhance immediate success during these platform teen years and prepare us for weathering the expected volatility ahead.  


About the author
Laura Lewandowski / Executive Vice President, Media
Leadership matters, more than ever. Building competency in proactive crisis communications management can prepare you and your leaders for the next crisis. Amid organizational and societal shifts, leaders who project strength, communicate clearly, and show empathy can earn confidence, reduce risk, and improve brand and personal reputations, even when crisis hits.

Are you ready for the next crisis?

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In our rapidly shaping and shifting world, there is nothing more important than strong leadership. An organization can get along without it in a status quo environment – but the moment crisis rears its head, leaders are needed. Leaders who project strength, communicate clearly and show empathy.

There’s one thing we can be sure of in volatile times: it’s not a question of “if” the next crisis will come, it’s “when”. So, building competency in crisis communications should be a priority for every company and every leader.

Understanding crisis communications management

Crisis was once a term reserved for headline-grabbing events such as oil spills, plane crashes, large corporate scandals or major economic volatility. But in today’s deeply interconnected world, information is available to many different audiences, each with their own priorities. This means something that was previously a minor issue – only of interest to people inside or close to a company – can now be disseminated worldwide in an instant, finding that audience to whom it matters most. A small slipup can impact a company’s reputation and do lasting damage, sometimes more than a major event. Accounting mistakes, social justice issues, supply chain disruptions, privacy and cybersecurity, geopolitical events and workplace dynamics are just a few issues leaders need to navigate today. And they must navigate very quickly and very publicly.

Key elements of crisis communications and management

At ChangeMakers, we focus on five key elements that leaders need in a crisis:

Vision: Communicating a clear and compelling vision for your organization. Your stakeholders – the public, employees, shareholders – need to know your continued purpose and motivation regardless of the circumstances.

Agility: Adapting quickly to ever-changing circumstances and making decisions based on incomplete or uncertain information and communicating well.

Empathy: Showing an understanding of the lived experience and responding to the needs of your employees, customers and other stakeholders. Empathy and compassion should be visible in all communication.

Resilience: Demonstrating you can manage these setbacks and maintain a composed and calm demeanour throughout, while supporting others through transparent and open communication.

Collaboration: Working quickly to use your networks to find solutions to complex situations.

With so much at risk, more should be done to prepare.

A recent poll of executives* who’ve experienced crisis events shows that:

  • 38% had not anticipated the risk.
  • 24% anticipated the risk but weren’t prepared.
  • 64% reported the crisis set their company back financially.
  • 35% reported it impacted their ability to retain and recruit talent.

Clearly, more can and should be done to prepare leaders for a crisis – before it hits. Though we can’t know specifics of tomorrow’s crises, we can strengthen our vision, agility, empathy, resilience and collaboration through rigorous and data-informed training.

ChangeMakers Training Academy

The ChangeMakers Training Academy was created to answer this very challenge. We help leaders identify and strengthen the skills needed in crisis… skills that enhance and protect your reputation and maintain and build trust throughout any crisis.

We will help you prepare for any situation through: 

  • Risk audits
  • Rigorous simulations 
  • Understanding your stakeholders and issues
  • Data-driven tools focused on protecting, promoting and evolving your reputation
  • Communicating with empathy and transparency

Reputation capital matters more than ever. ChangeMakers Training Academy prepares leaders and their teams to step up when it matters most. Change is always coming – don’t wait for it to tap you on the shoulder. Be prepared to face it with readiness and determination.

*Source: https://senateshj.com/campaigns/crisis/

About the author
Vasie Papadopoulos / Vice President, Corporate Communications
Vasie is a seasoned communications leader with deep expertise in both public and private sector organizations. Her experience ranges from developing strategic communication plans, data-driven business strategies, creating unique company initiatives to leading and training organizations and executives on thought leadership, media training, public outreach, and crisis communications in complex and highly regulated sectors. When she isn’t working, she travels photographing the world.